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Whitepaper

3Q 2025 Private Real Estate Performance

KEY HIGHLIGHTS

  • The NCREIF Property Index returned 1.2% for 3Q 2025. Total returns were mainly driven by income
    at 1.2%, while appreciation amounted to 0.06%. The one-year total returns were 4.7%, comprised of
    4.8% income return and -0.10% appreciation.
  • Over the past year, private real estate surpassed both the listed REIT and bond markets and fell well
    short of the outsized returns in the stock market.
  • Real estate values peaked in 2Q 2022 and have since declined -19% for the unleveraged NCREIF
    Property Index and -24.8% for the NFI-ODCE Index.
  • In both the NPI and the NFI-ODCE, overall index values began stabilizing over the past few quarters.
    However, with valuation cap rate spreads remaining narrow to bond yields, there is a chance we may
    see additional depreciation in the NFI-ODCE index when year-end appraisals are completed in 4Q
    2025.
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